Gulf Shores, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

281
FXUS64 KMOB 081950
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
250 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday night)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

A dry deep layer northeasterly flow prevails over the area through
Wednesday night as Hurricane Milton over the south central Gulf
turns to the northeast and likely makes landfall Wednesday night
along the west-central Florida coast. Please see the National
Hurricane Center for the latest information on Hurricane Milton. A
High Risk of rip currents continues along area beaches through the
period, and a High Surf Advisory comes into effect beginning at 10
pm Wednesday evening for surf heights building to 4 to 6 feet.
Lows tonight range from the mid 50s to lower 60s along and west
of I-65, and in the mid 60s to near 70 further to the east. Highs
on Wednesday will be in the mid to upper 80s, then lows Wednesday
night range from the mid 50s well inland to the mid 60s at the
coast. /29

&&

.SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Per the latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center,
Hurricane Milton will be over the central Florida peninsula early
Thursday evening before continuing well off into the western
Atlantic and weakening through Sunday morning. A dry deep layer
northeasterly flow prevails over the forecast area through much of
Saturday, then a light southerly flow develops Saturday night and
becomes southwesterly on Sunday as a cold front approaches from
the north. The cold front is anticipated to move through the area
late Sunday night into Monday morning, with a cool northerly flow
following into Tuesday. Deep layer moisture remains too limited to
consider pops, and have continued with a dry forecast through
Tuesday. A High Risk of rip currents remains in effect until
Thursday evening, potentially overnight as well, then a moderate
risk of rip currents is anticipated for Friday with a low risk for
Saturday. A High Surf Advisory is in effect from 10 pm Wednesday
until 7 pm Thursday for surf heights of 4 to 6 feet. Current
indications are that the surf heights will be subsiding
sufficiently to end the High Surf Advisory earlier in the day on
Thursday, but will leave to the next shift to reassess. Highs on
Thursday will be in the lower to mid 80s, then highs on Friday
range from the upper 70s to the mid 80s. A slight warming trend
follows into Sunday by which time highs will be in the lower to
mid 80s. Similar highs are expected on Monday, then Tuesday will
be cooler with highs ranging from the lower 70s well inland to
the mid/upper 70s near the coast. Lows Thursday night range from
the lower 50s well inland to the lower 60s at the coast, then lows
Friday night and Saturday night will be a bit cooler before
somewhat milder temperatures occur Sunday night when lows range
from the mid 50s inland to the mid 60s at the coast. Lows Monday
night range from around 50 well inland to around 60 at the coast.
/29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 250 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Based on the latest data, have made adjustments to the Small Craft
Advisory for our open Gulf waters. The 20-60 nm portion will still
begin at 10 pm this evening, but the ending time has been
extended until 1 am Friday to allow sufficient time for winds and
seas to subside. As the northeasterly flow will take a bit more
time to pick up over the near shore waters, have changed the start
time for the 0-20 nm portion until 4 am Wednesday morning though
left the ending time of 1 pm Thursday as is. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      62  88  63  86  59  83  56  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   70  87  65  84  62  81  59  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      70  85  66  84  63  80  60  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   61  87  57  84  52  81  49  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  56  86  58  84  56  83  51  83 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      59  85  58  82  53  80  50  80 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   62  86  57  84  53  80  49  81 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Advisory from 10 PM Wednesday to 7 PM CDT Thursday for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM Wednesday to 1 PM CDT Thursday
     for GMZ650-655.

     Small Craft Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT Friday
     for GMZ670-675.

&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob